Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts indicates a maximum temperature near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under partly cloudy to clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure that limits mixing and allows modest daytime radiative warming from a cool overnight low near 10°C. Trader consensus favoring 19–20°C over 16–18°C reflects uncertainty in short-term model runs, where small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by 1–3°C, alongside historical August variability around the 18°C climatological mean. Key resolution hinges on official station observations during peak afternoon hours, with upcoming updates from national meteorological services likely to refine the narrow range between these leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
19°C 35%
20°C 28%
21°C 24%
18°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
35%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35%
20°C 28%
21°C 24%
18°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
35%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional forecasts indicates a maximum temperature near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under partly cloudy to clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure that limits mixing and allows modest daytime radiative warming from a cool overnight low near 10°C. Trader consensus favoring 19–20°C over 16–18°C reflects uncertainty in short-term model runs, where small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by 1–3°C, alongside historical August variability around the 18°C climatological mean. Key resolution hinges on official station observations during peak afternoon hours, with upcoming updates from national meteorological services likely to refine the narrow range between these leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย