**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for August 29, 2026, project a minimum of 13–15 °C in Mexico City, placing the market’s tightly bunched leaders (11–14 °C) squarely inside the expected range.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms associated with the peak of the rainy season limit radiational cooling overnight at the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m). These conditions produce a relatively narrow diurnal temperature range, with dew points near 12–14 °C and light northeasterly winds that further suppress sharp drops. Model-to-model differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon/evening convection explain the near-equal probabilities across 11–14 °C. Clearer breaks in the cloud deck could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of that band (11–12 °C), while sustained overcast and urban heat-island effects would favor 13–14 °C. Historical late-August minima average near 12–13 °C, providing additional context for trader positioning around the middle of the official forecast interval. Updated CONAGUA guidance and hourly observations through the overnight period will determine the exact recorded low at the primary reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
12°C 42%
13°C 42%
11°C 39%
16°C 1.0%
$838 ปริมาณ
$838 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
39%
12°C
42%
13°C
42%
14°C
40%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 42%
13°C 42%
11°C 39%
16°C 1.0%
$838 ปริมาณ
$838 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$84 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
14°C
$2 ปริมาณ
40%
15°C
$314 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$112 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$84 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$67 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for August 29, 2026, project a minimum of 13–15 °C in Mexico City, placing the market’s tightly bunched leaders (11–14 °C) squarely inside the expected range.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms associated with the peak of the rainy season limit radiational cooling overnight at the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m). These conditions produce a relatively narrow diurnal temperature range, with dew points near 12–14 °C and light northeasterly winds that further suppress sharp drops.
Model-to-model differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon/evening convection explain the near-equal probabilities across 11–14 °C. Clearer breaks in the cloud deck could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of that band (11–12 °C), while sustained overcast and urban heat-island effects would favor 13–14 °C. Historical late-August minima average near 12–13 °C, providing additional context for trader positioning around the middle of the official forecast interval. Updated CONAGUA guidance and hourly observations through the overnight period will determine the exact recorded low at the primary reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$838วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for August 29, 2026, project a minimum of 13–15 °C in Mexico City, placing the market’s tightly bunched leaders (11–14 °C) squarely inside the expected range.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms associated with the peak of the rainy season limit radiational cooling overnight at the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m). These conditions produce a relatively narrow diurnal temperature range, with dew points near 12–14 °C and light northeasterly winds that further suppress sharp drops.
Model-to-model differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon/evening convection explain the near-equal probabilities across 11–14 °C. Clearer breaks in the cloud deck could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of that band (11–12 °C), while sustained overcast and urban heat-island effects would favor 13–14 °C. Historical late-August minima average near 12–13 °C, providing additional context for trader positioning around the middle of the official forecast interval. Updated CONAGUA guidance and hourly observations through the overnight period will determine the exact recorded low at the primary reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$838วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for August 29, 2026, project a minimum of 13–15 °C in Mexico City, placing the market’s tightly bunched leaders (11–14 °C) squarely inside the expected range.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms associated with the peak of the rainy season limit radiational cooling overnight at the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m). These conditions produce a relatively narrow diurnal temperature range, with dew points near 12–14 °C and light northeasterly winds that further suppress sharp drops. Model-to-model differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon/evening convection explain the near-equal probabilities across 11–14 °C. Clearer breaks in the cloud deck could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of that band (11–12 °C), while sustained overcast and urban heat-island effects would favor 13–14 °C. Historical late-August minima average near 12–13 °C, providing additional context for trader positioning around the middle of the official forecast interval. Updated CONAGUA guidance and hourly observations through the overnight period will determine the exact recorded low at the primary reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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