Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated minimum temperatures above the August climatological average of roughly 12°C. This setup supports the elevated market-implied odds for outcomes near 19°C while sustaining notable probability on 17°C or below if local stations record a slightly sharper nocturnal drop. A cold front and associated rain are expected to arrive after August 31, introducing limited downside risk to the minimum that day but increasing uncertainty in the final observed value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
27°C or higher 59%
21°C 49%
17°C or below 45%
24°C 39%
17°C or below
45%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
25%
23°C
1%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
59%
27°C or higher 59%
21°C 49%
17°C or below 45%
24°C 39%
17°C or below
45%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
25%
23°C
1%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated minimum temperatures above the August climatological average of roughly 12°C. This setup supports the elevated market-implied odds for outcomes near 19°C while sustaining notable probability on 17°C or below if local stations record a slightly sharper nocturnal drop. A cold front and associated rain are expected to arrive after August 31, introducing limited downside risk to the minimum that day but increasing uncertainty in the final observed value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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