Recent official forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a peak temperature of 29–31°C in Milan on August 29, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating while allowing sufficient solar insolation. Afternoon readings are projected near 30°C with dew points supporting moderate humidity around 45–60%, consistent with late-August climatology for the Po Valley. Light precipitation chances in some runs could cap the daily maximum slightly below model guidance, explaining the strong market concentration on 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Updated runs on August 28 show minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping the 31°C threshold at lower implied probability absent stronger southerly flow or clearing skies. Traders appear to weigh ensemble spread against official guidance from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 29?
30°C 44%
29°C 34%
31°C 13%
28°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
34%
30°C
44%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 44%
29°C 34%
31°C 13%
28°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$389 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$374 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$13 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$76 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$379 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$720 ปริมาณ
34%
30°C
$411 ปริมาณ
44%
31°C
$972 ปริมาณ
13%
32°C
$217 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C or higher
$139 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a peak temperature of 29–31°C in Milan on August 29, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating while allowing sufficient solar insolation. Afternoon readings are projected near 30°C with dew points supporting moderate humidity around 45–60%, consistent with late-August climatology for the Po Valley. Light precipitation chances in some runs could cap the daily maximum slightly below model guidance, explaining the strong market concentration on 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Updated runs on August 28 show minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping the 31°C threshold at lower implied probability absent stronger southerly flow or clearing skies. Traders appear to weigh ensemble spread against official guidance from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,919วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a peak temperature of 29–31°C in Milan on August 29, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating while allowing sufficient solar insolation. Afternoon readings are projected near 30°C with dew points supporting moderate humidity around 45–60%, consistent with late-August climatology for the Po Valley. Light precipitation chances in some runs could cap the daily maximum slightly below model guidance, explaining the strong market concentration on 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Updated runs on August 28 show minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping the 31°C threshold at lower implied probability absent stronger southerly flow or clearing skies. Traders appear to weigh ensemble spread against official guidance from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,919วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a peak temperature of 29–31°C in Milan on August 29, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating while allowing sufficient solar insolation. Afternoon readings are projected near 30°C with dew points supporting moderate humidity around 45–60%, consistent with late-August climatology for the Po Valley. Light precipitation chances in some runs could cap the daily maximum slightly below model guidance, explaining the strong market concentration on 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Updated runs on August 28 show minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping the 31°C threshold at lower implied probability absent stronger southerly flow or clearing skies. Traders appear to weigh ensemble spread against official guidance from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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