Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF show model spread centered on 18–20 °C maxima for Helsinki on August 30, driven by variable cloud cover and light southerly flow that may briefly clear or produce scattered showers. This uncertainty keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around the climatological average high of 18.4 °C, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to 19–20 °C where limited clearing could allow modest warming. Next model cycles and updated surface observations will further constrain boundary-layer moisture and wind trajectories ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 30?
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 19%
21°C 12%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
19%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
12%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 19%
21°C 12%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
19%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
12%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF show model spread centered on 18–20 °C maxima for Helsinki on August 30, driven by variable cloud cover and light southerly flow that may briefly clear or produce scattered showers. This uncertainty keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around the climatological average high of 18.4 °C, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to 19–20 °C where limited clearing could allow modest warming. Next model cycles and updated surface observations will further constrain boundary-layer moisture and wind trajectories ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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