Short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles place the highest probability on a Shenzhen maximum temperature of 32–34 °C on August 28 because subtropical high pressure is expected to maintain mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating over the Pearl River Delta. Model spread arises mainly from differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated convective cells, which can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings if cloud development occurs earlier than forecast. Climatologically, late-August maxima in Shenzhen average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the current market distribution aligns with typical variability rather than an extreme event. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range as boundary-layer and moisture fields are refined.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C
16%
32°C
27%
33°C
27%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$208 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$115 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
35°C
$125 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles place the highest probability on a Shenzhen maximum temperature of 32–34 °C on August 28 because subtropical high pressure is expected to maintain mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating over the Pearl River Delta. Model spread arises mainly from differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated convective cells, which can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings if cloud development occurs earlier than forecast. Climatologically, late-August maxima in Shenzhen average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the current market distribution aligns with typical variability rather than an extreme event. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range as boundary-layer and moisture fields are refined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$666วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles place the highest probability on a Shenzhen maximum temperature of 32–34 °C on August 28 because subtropical high pressure is expected to maintain mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating over the Pearl River Delta. Model spread arises mainly from differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated convective cells, which can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings if cloud development occurs earlier than forecast. Climatologically, late-August maxima in Shenzhen average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the current market distribution aligns with typical variability rather than an extreme event. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range as boundary-layer and moisture fields are refined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$666วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles place the highest probability on a Shenzhen maximum temperature of 32–34 °C on August 28 because subtropical high pressure is expected to maintain mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating over the Pearl River Delta. Model spread arises mainly from differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated convective cells, which can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings if cloud development occurs earlier than forecast. Climatologically, late-August maxima in Shenzhen average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the current market distribution aligns with typical variability rather than an extreme event. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range as boundary-layer and moisture fields are refined.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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