Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
31°C 34%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$479 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$529 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$166 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$110 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$7 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$46 ปริมาณ
34%
32°C
$66 ปริมาณ
21%
33°C
$108 ปริมาณ
11%
34°C
$54 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C or higher
$49 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,619วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,619วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen under the influence of monsoon moisture and widespread convective activity, with afternoon thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover likely capping peak solar heating on August 27. This supports the market's dispersed odds, where 31°C leads at 33.5% amid uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity fueling or inhibiting convection, variable steering winds altering storm tracks, urban heat island effects amplifying readings, and model divergence on exact cloud fraction. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C provide context, but the narrow 24–48 hour window until resolution leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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