Recent official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs shows Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 likely settling near 24–26°C amid a post-heatwave regime with increased cloud cover, modest northerly flow, and scattered showers that limit peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds clustering on 26–27°C reflect trader focus on model spread and the possibility of clearer intervals allowing stronger daytime heating, while climatological late-August norms of 23–25°C and recent observations of suppressed highs cap upside risk. Key variables include exact timing of any thundery activity, wind direction shifts, and afternoon cloud evolution, with updated model cycles over the next 48 hours poised to refine these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
27°C 30%
26°C 26%
28°C 19%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
30%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 30%
26°C 26%
28°C 19%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$11 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$15 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$205 ปริมาณ
11%
26°C
$241 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$315 ปริมาณ
30%
28°C
$270 ปริมาณ
19%
29°C
$67 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$44 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs shows Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 likely settling near 24–26°C amid a post-heatwave regime with increased cloud cover, modest northerly flow, and scattered showers that limit peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds clustering on 26–27°C reflect trader focus on model spread and the possibility of clearer intervals allowing stronger daytime heating, while climatological late-August norms of 23–25°C and recent observations of suppressed highs cap upside risk. Key variables include exact timing of any thundery activity, wind direction shifts, and afternoon cloud evolution, with updated model cycles over the next 48 hours poised to refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,210วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs shows Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 likely settling near 24–26°C amid a post-heatwave regime with increased cloud cover, modest northerly flow, and scattered showers that limit peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds clustering on 26–27°C reflect trader focus on model spread and the possibility of clearer intervals allowing stronger daytime heating, while climatological late-August norms of 23–25°C and recent observations of suppressed highs cap upside risk. Key variables include exact timing of any thundery activity, wind direction shifts, and afternoon cloud evolution, with updated model cycles over the next 48 hours poised to refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,210วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs shows Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 likely settling near 24–26°C amid a post-heatwave regime with increased cloud cover, modest northerly flow, and scattered showers that limit peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds clustering on 26–27°C reflect trader focus on model spread and the possibility of clearer intervals allowing stronger daytime heating, while climatological late-August norms of 23–25°C and recent observations of suppressed highs cap upside risk. Key variables include exact timing of any thundery activity, wind direction shifts, and afternoon cloud evolution, with updated model cycles over the next 48 hours poised to refine these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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