Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical of late-summer conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models indicate a broad trough favoring scattered showers and variable cloud cover that can cap afternoon heating near 30–31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while humidity and weak steering flow add sensitivity to exact insolation. The tight spread among leading buckets captures model divergence on timing and coverage of convection, with updates from the next HKO briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to narrow probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
31°C 33%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
$10,453 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,453 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
20%
31°C
33%
32°C
24%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
$10,453 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,453 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$467 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$886 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$669 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$1,433 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$1,191 ปริมาณ
13%
30°C
$1,261 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$1,375 ปริมาณ
33%
32°C
$687 ปริมาณ
24%
33°C
$1,579 ปริมาณ
10%
34°C
$373 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$532 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical of late-summer conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models indicate a broad trough favoring scattered showers and variable cloud cover that can cap afternoon heating near 30–31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while humidity and weak steering flow add sensitivity to exact insolation. The tight spread among leading buckets captures model divergence on timing and coverage of convection, with updates from the next HKO briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,453วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical of late-summer conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models indicate a broad trough favoring scattered showers and variable cloud cover that can cap afternoon heating near 30–31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while humidity and weak steering flow add sensitivity to exact insolation. The tight spread among leading buckets captures model divergence on timing and coverage of convection, with updates from the next HKO briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,453วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 23 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty typical of late-summer conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional models indicate a broad trough favoring scattered showers and variable cloud cover that can cap afternoon heating near 30–31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while humidity and weak steering flow add sensitivity to exact insolation. The tight spread among leading buckets captures model divergence on timing and coverage of convection, with updates from the next HKO briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to narrow probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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