Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy Saturday with scattered showers and 30% precipitation probability for Tokyo on August 22, limiting solar heating and supporting trader consensus around 28–31°C highs. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud timing and urban heat-island effects, while typical August climatology favors 31–33°C under clearer conditions. Recent model runs emphasize how even light rain or persistent overcast can suppress the daily maximum by 2–4°C through reduced insolation, keeping resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any showers before peak afternoon temperatures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
30°C 14%
33°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
14%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
30°C 14%
33°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
14%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy Saturday with scattered showers and 30% precipitation probability for Tokyo on August 22, limiting solar heating and supporting trader consensus around 28–31°C highs. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud timing and urban heat-island effects, while typical August climatology favors 31–33°C under clearer conditions. Recent model runs emphasize how even light rain or persistent overcast can suppress the daily maximum by 2–4°C through reduced insolation, keeping resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any showers before peak afternoon temperatures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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