Recent forecast runs from regional models highlight persistent southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers or thunderstorms expected on August 23, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Qingdao. High boundary-layer humidity and marine influence from the Yellow Sea further suppress temperature rises, consistent with late-August climatology for coastal Shandong. Slight variations in rainfall timing or breaks in cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 29–30 °C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on the 22nd will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
30°C 28%
29°C 25%
31°C 23%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
25%
30°C
28%
31°C
23%
32°C
15%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
9%
30°C 28%
29°C 25%
31°C 23%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
$176 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$176 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$55 ปริมาณ
14%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
30°C
$43 ปริมาณ
28%
31°C
$18 ปริมาณ
23%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$27 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C or higher
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from regional models highlight persistent southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers or thunderstorms expected on August 23, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Qingdao. High boundary-layer humidity and marine influence from the Yellow Sea further suppress temperature rises, consistent with late-August climatology for coastal Shandong. Slight variations in rainfall timing or breaks in cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 29–30 °C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on the 22nd will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$534วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from regional models highlight persistent southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers or thunderstorms expected on August 23, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Qingdao. High boundary-layer humidity and marine influence from the Yellow Sea further suppress temperature rises, consistent with late-August climatology for coastal Shandong. Slight variations in rainfall timing or breaks in cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 29–30 °C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on the 22nd will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$534วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from regional models highlight persistent southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers or thunderstorms expected on August 23, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Qingdao. High boundary-layer humidity and marine influence from the Yellow Sea further suppress temperature rises, consistent with late-August climatology for coastal Shandong. Slight variations in rainfall timing or breaks in cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 29–30 °C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on the 22nd will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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