Recent forecast guidance from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and BBC points to thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Milan on August 21, limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature near or below the lower end of the typical late-August range of 28–30 °C. This pattern reflects a transient cooler air mass and reduced solar insolation rather than the clearer, warmer conditions that normally prevail. Trader consensus around 23–24 °C as the most probable outcomes incorporates model spread on shower timing, intensity, and any afternoon breaks in cloud, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Higher readings above 25 °C would require more persistent sunshine, while values at or below 22 °C would need prolonged rainfall and stronger advection of cooler air—scenarios still within the envelope of current ensemble guidance but carrying lower implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 21?
23°C 36%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 9%
$10,168 ปริมาณ
$10,168 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
18%
23°C
36%
24°C
23%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 36%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 9%
$10,168 ปริมาณ
$10,168 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
18%
23°C
36%
24°C
23%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and BBC points to thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Milan on August 21, limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature near or below the lower end of the typical late-August range of 28–30 °C. This pattern reflects a transient cooler air mass and reduced solar insolation rather than the clearer, warmer conditions that normally prevail. Trader consensus around 23–24 °C as the most probable outcomes incorporates model spread on shower timing, intensity, and any afternoon breaks in cloud, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Higher readings above 25 °C would require more persistent sunshine, while values at or below 22 °C would need prolonged rainfall and stronger advection of cooler air—scenarios still within the envelope of current ensemble guidance but carrying lower implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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