Recent MetService guidance points to a mainly fine Friday with a 13°C maximum under light northwesterlies after early southerlies ease, placing the 14°C outcome (55.5% implied probability) ahead due to potential extra afternoon insolation and model spread. The 13°C share (36%) captures the baseline forecast while August climatology for Wellington centers on 12–13°C highs amid near-average seasonal conditions from NIWA. A stable high-pressure ridge has limited recent polar outbreaks, reducing colder risks below 12°C, though any lingering cloud or wind shifts could cap readings at 13°C. Updated official observations on the day will determine resolution against these narrow thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
14°C 56%
13°C 36%
15°C 9%
12°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
36%
14°C
56%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
13°C 36%
15°C 9%
12°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
8°C or below
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$354 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$356 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$51 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$281 ปริมาณ
3%
13°C
$247 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$450 ปริมาณ
56%
15°C
$255 ปริมาณ
9%
16°C
$52 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$221 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$181 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance points to a mainly fine Friday with a 13°C maximum under light northwesterlies after early southerlies ease, placing the 14°C outcome (55.5% implied probability) ahead due to potential extra afternoon insolation and model spread. The 13°C share (36%) captures the baseline forecast while August climatology for Wellington centers on 12–13°C highs amid near-average seasonal conditions from NIWA. A stable high-pressure ridge has limited recent polar outbreaks, reducing colder risks below 12°C, though any lingering cloud or wind shifts could cap readings at 13°C. Updated official observations on the day will determine resolution against these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,707วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance points to a mainly fine Friday with a 13°C maximum under light northwesterlies after early southerlies ease, placing the 14°C outcome (55.5% implied probability) ahead due to potential extra afternoon insolation and model spread. The 13°C share (36%) captures the baseline forecast while August climatology for Wellington centers on 12–13°C highs amid near-average seasonal conditions from NIWA. A stable high-pressure ridge has limited recent polar outbreaks, reducing colder risks below 12°C, though any lingering cloud or wind shifts could cap readings at 13°C. Updated official observations on the day will determine resolution against these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,707วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService guidance points to a mainly fine Friday with a 13°C maximum under light northwesterlies after early southerlies ease, placing the 14°C outcome (55.5% implied probability) ahead due to potential extra afternoon insolation and model spread. The 13°C share (36%) captures the baseline forecast while August climatology for Wellington centers on 12–13°C highs amid near-average seasonal conditions from NIWA. A stable high-pressure ridge has limited recent polar outbreaks, reducing colder risks below 12°C, though any lingering cloud or wind shifts could cap readings at 13°C. Updated official observations on the day will determine resolution against these narrow thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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