Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sunny intervals with a maximum of 23–24°C for London on August 19, supporting the near-even split between those two outcomes at 30% and 36.5%. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic front determine whether peak insolation pushes readings to 24°C or holds them at 23°C. Warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain less likely given current steering patterns and modest onshore flow, while cooler outcomes below 22°C would require greater cloud persistence or earlier rain not favored in latest guidance. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours should narrow the remaining spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 19?
Highest temperature in London on August 19?
24°C 38%
23°C 30%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
30%
24°C
38%
25°C
17%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 30%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$98 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$31 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$270 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$270 ปริมาณ
30%
24°C
$348 ปริมาณ
38%
25°C
$466 ปริมาณ
17%
26°C
$115 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C
$45 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$276 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sunny intervals with a maximum of 23–24°C for London on August 19, supporting the near-even split between those two outcomes at 30% and 36.5%. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic front determine whether peak insolation pushes readings to 24°C or holds them at 23°C. Warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain less likely given current steering patterns and modest onshore flow, while cooler outcomes below 22°C would require greater cloud persistence or earlier rain not favored in latest guidance. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours should narrow the remaining spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,402วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sunny intervals with a maximum of 23–24°C for London on August 19, supporting the near-even split between those two outcomes at 30% and 36.5%. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic front determine whether peak insolation pushes readings to 24°C or holds them at 23°C. Warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain less likely given current steering patterns and modest onshore flow, while cooler outcomes below 22°C would require greater cloud persistence or earlier rain not favored in latest guidance. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours should narrow the remaining spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,402วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sunny intervals with a maximum of 23–24°C for London on August 19, supporting the near-even split between those two outcomes at 30% and 36.5%. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic front determine whether peak insolation pushes readings to 24°C or holds them at 23°C. Warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain less likely given current steering patterns and modest onshore flow, while cooler outcomes below 22°C would require greater cloud persistence or earlier rain not favored in latest guidance. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours should narrow the remaining spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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