Recent weather model guidance for Wuhan points to a peak temperature of 35–36°C on August 21, with ensembles showing only modest spread around that range amid the city’s subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light northerly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late August—introduce the main uncertainty, as thicker cloud cover or earlier rainfall could cap the high near 35°C while clearer intervals could allow readings to reach 36°C. Historical August maxima in Wuhan average near 32–33°C but frequently exceed 35°C during similar warm, moist patterns, supporting the close market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
36°C 30%
35°C 25%
34°C 17%
38°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
6%
34°C
17%
35°C
25%
36°C
30%
37°C
6%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 30%
35°C 25%
34°C 17%
38°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
29°C or below
$235 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$237 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$123 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$35 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$44 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
35°C
$10 ปริมาณ
25%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
37°C
$61 ปริมาณ
6%
38°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
39°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model guidance for Wuhan points to a peak temperature of 35–36°C on August 21, with ensembles showing only modest spread around that range amid the city’s subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light northerly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late August—introduce the main uncertainty, as thicker cloud cover or earlier rainfall could cap the high near 35°C while clearer intervals could allow readings to reach 36°C. Historical August maxima in Wuhan average near 32–33°C but frequently exceed 35°C during similar warm, moist patterns, supporting the close market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$751วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model guidance for Wuhan points to a peak temperature of 35–36°C on August 21, with ensembles showing only modest spread around that range amid the city’s subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light northerly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late August—introduce the main uncertainty, as thicker cloud cover or earlier rainfall could cap the high near 35°C while clearer intervals could allow readings to reach 36°C. Historical August maxima in Wuhan average near 32–33°C but frequently exceed 35°C during similar warm, moist patterns, supporting the close market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$751วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model guidance for Wuhan points to a peak temperature of 35–36°C on August 21, with ensembles showing only modest spread around that range amid the city’s subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light northerly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late August—introduce the main uncertainty, as thicker cloud cover or earlier rainfall could cap the high near 35°C while clearer intervals could allow readings to reach 36°C. Historical August maxima in Wuhan average near 32–33°C but frequently exceed 35°C during similar warm, moist patterns, supporting the close market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย