Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and Tropical Depression Neneng are keeping Metro Manila under cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, moderating daytime highs. PAGASA outlooks project a 32°C maximum for August 21 with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market's near-even split between 31°C (38%) and 32°C (39%) outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit solar heating and peak temperatures, while brief clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, but the current wet pattern favors the clustered 31–32°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 21?
31°C 38%
32°C 38%
33°C 16%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
38%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 38%
33°C 16%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
$166 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$316 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$49 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$45 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$181 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$338 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C
$165 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$200 ปริมาณ
16%
34°C
$136 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$44 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$61 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and Tropical Depression Neneng are keeping Metro Manila under cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, moderating daytime highs. PAGASA outlooks project a 32°C maximum for August 21 with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market's near-even split between 31°C (38%) and 32°C (39%) outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit solar heating and peak temperatures, while brief clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, but the current wet pattern favors the clustered 31–32°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,702วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and Tropical Depression Neneng are keeping Metro Manila under cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, moderating daytime highs. PAGASA outlooks project a 32°C maximum for August 21 with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market's near-even split between 31°C (38%) and 32°C (39%) outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit solar heating and peak temperatures, while brief clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, but the current wet pattern favors the clustered 31–32°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,702วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and Tropical Depression Neneng are keeping Metro Manila under cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, moderating daytime highs. PAGASA outlooks project a 32°C maximum for August 21 with 40% rain probability, aligning with the market's near-even split between 31°C (38%) and 32°C (39%) outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing limit solar heating and peak temperatures, while brief clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Historical August averages near 31°C provide baseline context, but the current wet pattern favors the clustered 31–32°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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