Recent short-range forecasts for Istanbul indicate a daily maximum temperature near 28–30°C on August 21 under predominantly sunny conditions and light northerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where the long-term average high sits at approximately 28–29°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential for localized sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus, keeping the bulk of probability mass between 26°C and 28°C. The 27°C outcome leads because it aligns with the central tendency of both statistical analogs and current dynamical model consensus, while lower or higher bins reflect tail risks from minor forecast adjustments or observational revisions at official stations. No significant synoptic forcing or heatwave signal has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the distribution markedly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
27°C 51%
26°C 22%
28°C 16%
25°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
51%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 22%
28°C 16%
25°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$216 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$204 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$1,663 ปริมาณ
22%
27°C
$352 ปริมาณ
51%
28°C
$182 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$74 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$135 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$34 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Istanbul indicate a daily maximum temperature near 28–30°C on August 21 under predominantly sunny conditions and light northerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where the long-term average high sits at approximately 28–29°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential for localized sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus, keeping the bulk of probability mass between 26°C and 28°C. The 27°C outcome leads because it aligns with the central tendency of both statistical analogs and current dynamical model consensus, while lower or higher bins reflect tail risks from minor forecast adjustments or observational revisions at official stations. No significant synoptic forcing or heatwave signal has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the distribution markedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,914วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Istanbul indicate a daily maximum temperature near 28–30°C on August 21 under predominantly sunny conditions and light northerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where the long-term average high sits at approximately 28–29°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential for localized sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus, keeping the bulk of probability mass between 26°C and 28°C. The 27°C outcome leads because it aligns with the central tendency of both statistical analogs and current dynamical model consensus, while lower or higher bins reflect tail risks from minor forecast adjustments or observational revisions at official stations. No significant synoptic forcing or heatwave signal has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the distribution markedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,914วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Istanbul indicate a daily maximum temperature near 28–30°C on August 21 under predominantly sunny conditions and light northerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where the long-term average high sits at approximately 28–29°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential for localized sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus, keeping the bulk of probability mass between 26°C and 28°C. The 27°C outcome leads because it aligns with the central tendency of both statistical analogs and current dynamical model consensus, while lower or higher bins reflect tail risks from minor forecast adjustments or observational revisions at official stations. No significant synoptic forcing or heatwave signal has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the distribution markedly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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