Recent short-range model consensus and official guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 21, with the tight market spread between those bins reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and sea-breeze strength. Persistent light rain or overcast skies, combined with advection of cooler, humid air from the adjacent Yellow Sea (sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C), are expected to limit surface heating and suppress the usual diurnal rise. Ensemble runs show reduced insolation from persistent stratus or convective debris, while moderate southerly flow maintains high boundary-layer moisture that further caps peak temperatures. Historical August climatology for the coastal station averages 29°C, providing a stable baseline against which these near-term modifications are evaluated. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 21?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 21?
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 26%
27°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
18%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
36%
31°C
15%
32°C
7%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 26%
27°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
$316 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$9 ปริมาณ
18%
28°C
$4 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
30°C
$34 ปริมาณ
36%
31°C
$118 ปริมาณ
15%
32°C
$171 ปริมาณ
7%
33°C
$7 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C or higher
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus and official guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 21, with the tight market spread between those bins reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and sea-breeze strength. Persistent light rain or overcast skies, combined with advection of cooler, humid air from the adjacent Yellow Sea (sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C), are expected to limit surface heating and suppress the usual diurnal rise. Ensemble runs show reduced insolation from persistent stratus or convective debris, while moderate southerly flow maintains high boundary-layer moisture that further caps peak temperatures. Historical August climatology for the coastal station averages 29°C, providing a stable baseline against which these near-term modifications are evaluated. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$729วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus and official guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 21, with the tight market spread between those bins reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and sea-breeze strength. Persistent light rain or overcast skies, combined with advection of cooler, humid air from the adjacent Yellow Sea (sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C), are expected to limit surface heating and suppress the usual diurnal rise. Ensemble runs show reduced insolation from persistent stratus or convective debris, while moderate southerly flow maintains high boundary-layer moisture that further caps peak temperatures. Historical August climatology for the coastal station averages 29°C, providing a stable baseline against which these near-term modifications are evaluated. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$729วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus and official guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 21, with the tight market spread between those bins reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and sea-breeze strength. Persistent light rain or overcast skies, combined with advection of cooler, humid air from the adjacent Yellow Sea (sea-surface temperatures near 25–26°C), are expected to limit surface heating and suppress the usual diurnal rise. Ensemble runs show reduced insolation from persistent stratus or convective debris, while moderate southerly flow maintains high boundary-layer moisture that further caps peak temperatures. Historical August climatology for the coastal station averages 29°C, providing a stable baseline against which these near-term modifications are evaluated. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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