Current numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and complementary runs consistently project a Moscow daytime maximum of 21–23°C on August 21 under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited precipitation. This narrow range aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August highs hover near 22°C, and recent model updates show no incoming cold fronts or heat advection to shift outcomes significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 22°C (49.5%) and 23°C (29.5%) implied probabilities, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions and minimal forecast spread, while lower-probability tails account for residual uncertainty in local observations or minor model divergences ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
22°C 51%
23°C 30%
21°C 15%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
15%
22°C
51%
23°C
30%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 51%
23°C 30%
21°C 15%
24°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$792 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$577 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$311 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$417 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$832 ปริมาณ
15%
22°C
$773 ปริมาณ
51%
23°C
$1,280 ปริมาณ
30%
24°C
$439 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$286 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C or higher
$455 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and complementary runs consistently project a Moscow daytime maximum of 21–23°C on August 21 under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited precipitation. This narrow range aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August highs hover near 22°C, and recent model updates show no incoming cold fronts or heat advection to shift outcomes significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 22°C (49.5%) and 23°C (29.5%) implied probabilities, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions and minimal forecast spread, while lower-probability tails account for residual uncertainty in local observations or minor model divergences ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,359วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and complementary runs consistently project a Moscow daytime maximum of 21–23°C on August 21 under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited precipitation. This narrow range aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August highs hover near 22°C, and recent model updates show no incoming cold fronts or heat advection to shift outcomes significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 22°C (49.5%) and 23°C (29.5%) implied probabilities, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions and minimal forecast spread, while lower-probability tails account for residual uncertainty in local observations or minor model divergences ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,359วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and complementary runs consistently project a Moscow daytime maximum of 21–23°C on August 21 under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited precipitation. This narrow range aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August highs hover near 22°C, and recent model updates show no incoming cold fronts or heat advection to shift outcomes significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 22°C (49.5%) and 23°C (29.5%) implied probabilities, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions and minimal forecast spread, while lower-probability tails account for residual uncertainty in local observations or minor model divergences ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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