**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21, 2026, centers on 33°C as the clear frontrunner (69.5% implied probability), followed by 34°C (22.5%) and 32°C (8.5%).** These probabilities reflect aggregated forecasts from authoritative sources like the Israel Meteorological Service, which projects a daytime maximum of 32–34°C for coastal Tel Aviv on the date. Typical late-August conditions feature subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies and light winds, with sea breezes providing modest moderation along the Mediterranean coast. Recent model runs and agency briefings show stable patterns without significant heat advection or synoptic changes that would push extremes higher or allow notable cooling. Historical climatology places average daily highs near 31–32°C, so the slight upward tilt in current guidance supports the market's concentration on 33°C while leaving modest room for 34°C if afternoon heating intensifies. Upcoming official updates from the IMS and short-range model consensus will likely anchor resolution as the 24-hour window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21, 2026, centers on 33°C as the clear frontrunner (69.5% implied probability), followed by 34°C (22.5%) and 32°C (8.5%).** These probabilities reflect aggregated forecasts from authoritative sources like the Israel Meteorological Service, which projects a daytime maximum of 32–34°C for coastal Tel Aviv on the date. Typical late-August conditions feature subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies and light winds, with sea breezes providing modest moderation along the Mediterranean coast. Recent model runs and agency briefings show stable patterns without significant heat advection or synoptic changes that would push extremes higher or allow notable cooling. Historical climatology places average daily highs near 31–32°C, so the slight upward tilt in current guidance supports the market's concentration on 33°C while leaving modest room for 34°C if afternoon heating intensifies. Upcoming official updates from the IMS and short-range model consensus will likely anchor resolution as the 24-hour window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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