Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 22, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover from scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow over the South China Sea limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near seasonal norms. Urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further moderate dips, while any increase in wind or clearer skies could allow a 26°C reading. With August–October temperatures projected normal to above normal and no major systems approaching within the resolution window, model consensus favors this narrow range over cooler or warmer extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
27°C 42%
26°C 32%
29°C 13%
28°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
42%
28°C
9%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 32%
29°C 13%
28°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$633 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$53 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$12 ปริมาณ
32%
27°C
$2 ปริมาณ
42%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
29°C
$113 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$270 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$406 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$516 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 22, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover from scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow over the South China Sea limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near seasonal norms. Urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further moderate dips, while any increase in wind or clearer skies could allow a 26°C reading. With August–October temperatures projected normal to above normal and no major systems approaching within the resolution window, model consensus favors this narrow range over cooler or warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,005วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 22, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover from scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow over the South China Sea limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near seasonal norms. Urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further moderate dips, while any increase in wind or clearer skies could allow a 26°C reading. With August–October temperatures projected normal to above normal and no major systems approaching within the resolution window, model consensus favors this narrow range over cooler or warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,005วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 22, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover from scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow over the South China Sea limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near seasonal norms. Urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further moderate dips, while any increase in wind or clearer skies could allow a 26°C reading. With August–October temperatures projected normal to above normal and no major systems approaching within the resolution window, model consensus favors this narrow range over cooler or warmer extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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