Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by east-to-northeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that restrict daytime solar heating under weak steering flow. These conditions align with August climatology, where average highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent convection, while the seasonal outlook indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. The near-even market split between 31°C and 32°C reflects modest differences across short-range forecasts in cloud timing, shower intensity, and resulting insolation, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 30–33°C band consistent with current observational trends and model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
31°C 35%
32°C 32%
30°C 17%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
$13,139 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,139 ปริมาณ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
32%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 32%
30°C 17%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
$13,139 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,139 ปริมาณ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,138 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,763 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,087 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$1,046 ปริมาณ
17%
31°C
$1,617 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$2,005 ปริมาณ
32%
33°C
$1,667 ปริมาณ
13%
34°C
$779 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$570 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by east-to-northeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that restrict daytime solar heating under weak steering flow. These conditions align with August climatology, where average highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent convection, while the seasonal outlook indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. The near-even market split between 31°C and 32°C reflects modest differences across short-range forecasts in cloud timing, shower intensity, and resulting insolation, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 30–33°C band consistent with current observational trends and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,139วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by east-to-northeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that restrict daytime solar heating under weak steering flow. These conditions align with August climatology, where average highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent convection, while the seasonal outlook indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. The near-even market split between 31°C and 32°C reflects modest differences across short-range forecasts in cloud timing, shower intensity, and resulting insolation, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 30–33°C band consistent with current observational trends and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,139วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by east-to-northeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that restrict daytime solar heating under weak steering flow. These conditions align with August climatology, where average highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent convection, while the seasonal outlook indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. The near-even market split between 31°C and 32°C reflects modest differences across short-range forecasts in cloud timing, shower intensity, and resulting insolation, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 30–33°C band consistent with current observational trends and model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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