Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C for August 19 amid persistent showers and high humidity, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C. Tropical Storm Dolphin’s recent influence has sustained above-normal warmth through elevated moisture and suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover further limit drops below 26°C. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, reinforced by long-term warming trends and ENSO-neutral conditions, aligns with climatological August minima near 26–28°C. Key near-term variables include timing of any convective rainfall and steering winds that could briefly enhance or reduce cooling; updated short-range model runs and Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
27°C 41%
26°C 36%
28°C 30%
25°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
41%
28°C
20%
29°C
12%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 36%
28°C 30%
25°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$59 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$101 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$24 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$42 ปริมาณ
16%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
28°C
$56 ปริมาณ
20%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$47 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$105 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C for August 19 amid persistent showers and high humidity, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C. Tropical Storm Dolphin’s recent influence has sustained above-normal warmth through elevated moisture and suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover further limit drops below 26°C. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, reinforced by long-term warming trends and ENSO-neutral conditions, aligns with climatological August minima near 26–28°C. Key near-term variables include timing of any convective rainfall and steering winds that could briefly enhance or reduce cooling; updated short-range model runs and Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$439วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C for August 19 amid persistent showers and high humidity, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C. Tropical Storm Dolphin’s recent influence has sustained above-normal warmth through elevated moisture and suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover further limit drops below 26°C. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, reinforced by long-term warming trends and ENSO-neutral conditions, aligns with climatological August minima near 26–28°C. Key near-term variables include timing of any convective rainfall and steering winds that could briefly enhance or reduce cooling; updated short-range model runs and Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$439วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C for August 19 amid persistent showers and high humidity, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28°C. Tropical Storm Dolphin’s recent influence has sustained above-normal warmth through elevated moisture and suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover further limit drops below 26°C. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, reinforced by long-term warming trends and ENSO-neutral conditions, aligns with climatological August minima near 26–28°C. Key near-term variables include timing of any convective rainfall and steering winds that could briefly enhance or reduce cooling; updated short-range model runs and Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย