Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers over Paris on August 21, driven by post-heatwave northerly advection that reduces surface insolation and caps daytime maxima near 23°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology while suppressing stronger warming, positioning the 23°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 54%. Traders monitor updated model runs for shifts in cloud timing or wind patterns that could favor 22°C or 24°C bins, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 21?
23°C 56%
24°C 25%
22°C 14%
25°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
56%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 56%
24°C 25%
22°C 14%
25°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$365 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$494 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$591 ปริมาณ
14%
23°C
$2,819 ปริมาณ
56%
24°C
$915 ปริมาณ
25%
25°C
$396 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$522 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$309 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$411 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,268 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,263 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers over Paris on August 21, driven by post-heatwave northerly advection that reduces surface insolation and caps daytime maxima near 23°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology while suppressing stronger warming, positioning the 23°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 54%. Traders monitor updated model runs for shifts in cloud timing or wind patterns that could favor 22°C or 24°C bins, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,353วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers over Paris on August 21, driven by post-heatwave northerly advection that reduces surface insolation and caps daytime maxima near 23°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology while suppressing stronger warming, positioning the 23°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 54%. Traders monitor updated model runs for shifts in cloud timing or wind patterns that could favor 22°C or 24°C bins, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,353วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers over Paris on August 21, driven by post-heatwave northerly advection that reduces surface insolation and caps daytime maxima near 23°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology while suppressing stronger warming, positioning the 23°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 54%. Traders monitor updated model runs for shifts in cloud timing or wind patterns that could favor 22°C or 24°C bins, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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