**Current forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models points to a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 23, driven by persistent northwesterly flow of cooler North Sea air under building high pressure near the northern UK.** This setup favors partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating and steady winds of 10–15 km/h, keeping daytime peaks modestly below the long-term August average of about 22°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could alter the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model guidance heavily, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around these values two days out. Subsequent model runs and official KNMI guidance will provide the next key updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
20°C 52%
19°C 26%
21°C 21%
18°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
26%
20°C
52%
21°C
21%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 52%
19°C 26%
21°C 21%
18°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$219 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$180 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$295 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$1,068 ปริมาณ
26%
20°C
$1,234 ปริมาณ
52%
21°C
$645 ปริมาณ
21%
22°C
$182 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$115 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$216 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$255 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models points to a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 23, driven by persistent northwesterly flow of cooler North Sea air under building high pressure near the northern UK.** This setup favors partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating and steady winds of 10–15 km/h, keeping daytime peaks modestly below the long-term August average of about 22°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could alter the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model guidance heavily, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around these values two days out. Subsequent model runs and official KNMI guidance will provide the next key updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,537วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models points to a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 23, driven by persistent northwesterly flow of cooler North Sea air under building high pressure near the northern UK.** This setup favors partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating and steady winds of 10–15 km/h, keeping daytime peaks modestly below the long-term August average of about 22°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could alter the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model guidance heavily, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around these values two days out. Subsequent model runs and official KNMI guidance will provide the next key updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,537วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models points to a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 23, driven by persistent northwesterly flow of cooler North Sea air under building high pressure near the northern UK.** This setup favors partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating and steady winds of 10–15 km/h, keeping daytime peaks modestly below the long-term August average of about 22°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could alter the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model guidance heavily, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around these values two days out. Subsequent model runs and official KNMI guidance will provide the next key updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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