Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Amsterdam overnight into August 22, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 13°C or 14°C. Northwest winds off the North Sea, combined with building high pressure and partly cloudy skies, are limiting radiational cooling while advecting cooler maritime air; dew points near 11–12°C further moderate overnight lows. Stronger winds or lingering cloud cover would favor the higher end of this range by reducing surface heat loss, whereas clearer conditions and lighter flow could allow brief dips toward 12°C. Historical climatology shows typical August 22 minima near 13°C, with current guidance reflecting a modest cooling trend after warmer-than-average early August conditions. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
13°C 42%
14°C 38%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
9%
11°C
9%
12°C
18%
13°C
42%
14°C
38%
15°C
15%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 42%
14°C 38%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$6 ปริมาณ
3%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
12°C
$8 ปริมาณ
18%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C or higher
$13 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Amsterdam overnight into August 22, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 13°C or 14°C. Northwest winds off the North Sea, combined with building high pressure and partly cloudy skies, are limiting radiational cooling while advecting cooler maritime air; dew points near 11–12°C further moderate overnight lows. Stronger winds or lingering cloud cover would favor the higher end of this range by reducing surface heat loss, whereas clearer conditions and lighter flow could allow brief dips toward 12°C. Historical climatology shows typical August 22 minima near 13°C, with current guidance reflecting a modest cooling trend after warmer-than-average early August conditions. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Amsterdam overnight into August 22, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 13°C or 14°C. Northwest winds off the North Sea, combined with building high pressure and partly cloudy skies, are limiting radiational cooling while advecting cooler maritime air; dew points near 11–12°C further moderate overnight lows. Stronger winds or lingering cloud cover would favor the higher end of this range by reducing surface heat loss, whereas clearer conditions and lighter flow could allow brief dips toward 12°C. Historical climatology shows typical August 22 minima near 13°C, with current guidance reflecting a modest cooling trend after warmer-than-average early August conditions. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Amsterdam overnight into August 22, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 13°C or 14°C. Northwest winds off the North Sea, combined with building high pressure and partly cloudy skies, are limiting radiational cooling while advecting cooler maritime air; dew points near 11–12°C further moderate overnight lows. Stronger winds or lingering cloud cover would favor the higher end of this range by reducing surface heat loss, whereas clearer conditions and lighter flow could allow brief dips toward 12°C. Historical climatology shows typical August 22 minima near 13°C, with current guidance reflecting a modest cooling trend after warmer-than-average early August conditions. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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