A compressed marine layer and modest upper-level ridging over the region are keeping San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for August 20. Onshore flow and residual stratus limit daytime heating along the coast, while slight compression of the marine layer allows marginally warmer conditions than recent cooler spells. Historical August maxima average around 67–70°F, and current model consensus shows limited deviation, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 68–71°F. Minor forecast adjustments from updated soundings or wind shifts could still nudge the daily high across the 70°F threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 20?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 20?
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 31%
66-67°F 16%
72-73°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 31%
66-67°F 16%
72-73°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
59°F or below
$190 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$87 ปริมาณ
1%
62-63°F
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$337 ปริมาณ
7%
66-67°F
$14 ปริมาณ
16%
68-69°F
$66 ปริมาณ
31%
70-71°F
$31 ปริมาณ
32%
72-73°F
$161 ปริมาณ
11%
74-75°F
$11 ปริมาณ
6%
76-77°F
$89 ปริมาณ
1%
78°F or higher
$77 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A compressed marine layer and modest upper-level ridging over the region are keeping San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for August 20. Onshore flow and residual stratus limit daytime heating along the coast, while slight compression of the marine layer allows marginally warmer conditions than recent cooler spells. Historical August maxima average around 67–70°F, and current model consensus shows limited deviation, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 68–71°F. Minor forecast adjustments from updated soundings or wind shifts could still nudge the daily high across the 70°F threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,076วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A compressed marine layer and modest upper-level ridging over the region are keeping San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for August 20. Onshore flow and residual stratus limit daytime heating along the coast, while slight compression of the marine layer allows marginally warmer conditions than recent cooler spells. Historical August maxima average around 67–70°F, and current model consensus shows limited deviation, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 68–71°F. Minor forecast adjustments from updated soundings or wind shifts could still nudge the daily high across the 70°F threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,076วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...A compressed marine layer and modest upper-level ridging over the region are keeping San Francisco temperatures near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs in the upper 60s to low 70s for August 20. Onshore flow and residual stratus limit daytime heating along the coast, while slight compression of the marine layer allows marginally warmer conditions than recent cooler spells. Historical August maxima average around 67–70°F, and current model consensus shows limited deviation, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 68–71°F. Minor forecast adjustments from updated soundings or wind shifts could still nudge the daily high across the 70°F threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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