Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance for Denver on August 22 points to mostly sunny conditions with a high near 93°F under building high pressure, placing the 94-95°F bin as the market favorite at 39% implied probability. Late-August climatology favors afternoon highs in the low 90s after the seasonal peak, but lingering warmth from an early-month heat wave—including the record 102°F on August 3—has kept ensemble means slightly elevated. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, common along the Front Range due to orographic lifting and monsoon moisture, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating or triggering earlier cloud cover. With resolution hinging on the official NWS observation at Denver International Airport, traders are weighting the central 92-95°F range most heavily while assigning low odds to extremes outside 88-97°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on August 22?
92-93°F 34%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 21%
96-97°F 7%
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
5%
104°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 34%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 21%
96-97°F 7%
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
5%
104°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance for Denver on August 22 points to mostly sunny conditions with a high near 93°F under building high pressure, placing the 94-95°F bin as the market favorite at 39% implied probability. Late-August climatology favors afternoon highs in the low 90s after the seasonal peak, but lingering warmth from an early-month heat wave—including the record 102°F on August 3—has kept ensemble means slightly elevated. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, common along the Front Range due to orographic lifting and monsoon moisture, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating or triggering earlier cloud cover. With resolution hinging on the official NWS observation at Denver International Airport, traders are weighting the central 92-95°F range most heavily while assigning low odds to extremes outside 88-97°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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