Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 21, 2026, driven by lingering low-pressure troughs over the South China Sea, which limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 29–31°C. High humidity, weak steering winds, and potential cloud build-up introduce variability in peak readings, while seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall amid ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions. Recent analogs from mid-August show maxima settling at 30–31°C on similar disturbed days. Traders weigh these factors against resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum at the Observatory's primary station, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C reflecting model spread and short-range forecast uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
30°C 34%
31°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 9%
ใหม่
$20,966 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,966 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
34%
31°C
28%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 9%
ใหม่
$20,966 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,966 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
$611 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$802 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,360 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$5,598 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$4,103 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$3,011 ปริมาณ
25%
30°C
$1,850 ปริมาณ
34%
31°C
$1,275 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$1,307 ปริมาณ
9%
33°C
$465 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$582 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 21, 2026, driven by lingering low-pressure troughs over the South China Sea, which limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 29–31°C. High humidity, weak steering winds, and potential cloud build-up introduce variability in peak readings, while seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall amid ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions. Recent analogs from mid-August show maxima settling at 30–31°C on similar disturbed days. Traders weigh these factors against resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum at the Observatory's primary station, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C reflecting model spread and short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,966วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 21, 2026, driven by lingering low-pressure troughs over the South China Sea, which limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 29–31°C. High humidity, weak steering winds, and potential cloud build-up introduce variability in peak readings, while seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall amid ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions. Recent analogs from mid-August show maxima settling at 30–31°C on similar disturbed days. Traders weigh these factors against resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum at the Observatory's primary station, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C reflecting model spread and short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,966วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 21, 2026, driven by lingering low-pressure troughs over the South China Sea, which limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 29–31°C. High humidity, weak steering winds, and potential cloud build-up introduce variability in peak readings, while seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall amid ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions. Recent analogs from mid-August show maxima settling at 30–31°C on similar disturbed days. Traders weigh these factors against resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum at the Observatory's primary station, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C reflecting model spread and short-range forecast uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย