Latest ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF place the most probable peak temperature for London on August 23 in the 23–24°C range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A building high-pressure ridge combined with light southerly flow is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest diurnal warming, though daytime maxima remain near or slightly above the long-term August average of 21–22°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread, while a small risk of greater heating or Atlantic moisture intrusion keeps 25°C in contention. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance most heavily given the short lead time and typical skill of 48-hour temperature forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 23?
Highest temperature in London on August 23?
24°C 35%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
29%
24°C
35%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$456 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$504 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$184 ปริมาณ
10%
23°C
$464 ปริมาณ
29%
24°C
$482 ปริมาณ
35%
25°C
$300 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C
$156 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$303 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$257 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$254 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF place the most probable peak temperature for London on August 23 in the 23–24°C range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A building high-pressure ridge combined with light southerly flow is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest diurnal warming, though daytime maxima remain near or slightly above the long-term August average of 21–22°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread, while a small risk of greater heating or Atlantic moisture intrusion keeps 25°C in contention. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance most heavily given the short lead time and typical skill of 48-hour temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,529วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF place the most probable peak temperature for London on August 23 in the 23–24°C range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A building high-pressure ridge combined with light southerly flow is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest diurnal warming, though daytime maxima remain near or slightly above the long-term August average of 21–22°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread, while a small risk of greater heating or Atlantic moisture intrusion keeps 25°C in contention. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance most heavily given the short lead time and typical skill of 48-hour temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,529วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF place the most probable peak temperature for London on August 23 in the 23–24°C range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. A building high-pressure ridge combined with light southerly flow is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest diurnal warming, though daytime maxima remain near or slightly above the long-term August average of 21–22°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread, while a small risk of greater heating or Atlantic moisture intrusion keeps 25°C in contention. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance most heavily given the short lead time and typical skill of 48-hour temperature forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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