Recent short-range forecasts from major models indicate London’s minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, aligning with the market’s clustering around those outcomes. A cooling trend after mid-August warmth, driven by increased cloud cover and a weak Atlantic front, has reduced radiative cooling potential while keeping daytime highs near 20–22 °C. Key variables include overnight cloud fraction (clear skies favor deeper cooling toward 11 °C or below), wind mixing that limits cold-air pooling, and urban heat-island effects that typically add 1–2 °C in central London. Model spread and the two-day lead time sustain the observed uncertainty, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and any updated Met Office guidance expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 23?
Lowest temperature in London on August 23?
13°C 33%
12°C 26%
14°C 8%
10°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
4%
9°C
5%
10°C
7%
11°C
7%
12°C
26%
13°C
33%
14°C
8%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 33%
12°C 26%
14°C 8%
10°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
9°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
10°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
12°C
$170 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C
$111 ปริมาณ
33%
14°C
$168 ปริมาณ
8%
15°C
$167 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from major models indicate London’s minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, aligning with the market’s clustering around those outcomes. A cooling trend after mid-August warmth, driven by increased cloud cover and a weak Atlantic front, has reduced radiative cooling potential while keeping daytime highs near 20–22 °C. Key variables include overnight cloud fraction (clear skies favor deeper cooling toward 11 °C or below), wind mixing that limits cold-air pooling, and urban heat-island effects that typically add 1–2 °C in central London. Model spread and the two-day lead time sustain the observed uncertainty, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and any updated Met Office guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$656วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from major models indicate London’s minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, aligning with the market’s clustering around those outcomes. A cooling trend after mid-August warmth, driven by increased cloud cover and a weak Atlantic front, has reduced radiative cooling potential while keeping daytime highs near 20–22 °C. Key variables include overnight cloud fraction (clear skies favor deeper cooling toward 11 °C or below), wind mixing that limits cold-air pooling, and urban heat-island effects that typically add 1–2 °C in central London. Model spread and the two-day lead time sustain the observed uncertainty, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and any updated Met Office guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$656วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from major models indicate London’s minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 12–14 °C, aligning with the market’s clustering around those outcomes. A cooling trend after mid-August warmth, driven by increased cloud cover and a weak Atlantic front, has reduced radiative cooling potential while keeping daytime highs near 20–22 °C. Key variables include overnight cloud fraction (clear skies favor deeper cooling toward 11 °C or below), wind mixing that limits cold-air pooling, and urban heat-island effects that typically add 1–2 °C in central London. Model spread and the two-day lead time sustain the observed uncertainty, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and any updated Met Office guidance expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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