**Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity is keeping trader-implied odds tightly split between 31°C and 32°C for Manila’s August 25 high.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple models show partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by moderate-to-strong southwesterly flow that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak solar insolation. This typical wet-season pattern limits daytime heating near the long-term August average of ~31°C, while dew points near 24–25°C and high humidity further moderate extremes. Minor differences in rain timing or wind gusts (10–15 mph) could tip the official maximum between the two leading outcomes; stronger convective activity would favor the lower end. No tropical cyclone or significant model divergence appears in the short-term guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 25?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 25?
32°C 35%
31°C 34%
33°C 15%
30°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
34%
32°C
35%
33°C
15%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 34%
33°C 15%
30°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$188 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$52 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$283 ปริมาณ
14%
31°C
$480 ปริมาณ
34%
32°C
$136 ปริมาณ
35%
33°C
$172 ปริมาณ
15%
34°C
$173 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$284 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity is keeping trader-implied odds tightly split between 31°C and 32°C for Manila’s August 25 high.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple models show partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by moderate-to-strong southwesterly flow that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak solar insolation. This typical wet-season pattern limits daytime heating near the long-term August average of ~31°C, while dew points near 24–25°C and high humidity further moderate extremes. Minor differences in rain timing or wind gusts (10–15 mph) could tip the official maximum between the two leading outcomes; stronger convective activity would favor the lower end. No tropical cyclone or significant model divergence appears in the short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,948วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity is keeping trader-implied odds tightly split between 31°C and 32°C for Manila’s August 25 high.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple models show partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by moderate-to-strong southwesterly flow that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak solar insolation. This typical wet-season pattern limits daytime heating near the long-term August average of ~31°C, while dew points near 24–25°C and high humidity further moderate extremes. Minor differences in rain timing or wind gusts (10–15 mph) could tip the official maximum between the two leading outcomes; stronger convective activity would favor the lower end. No tropical cyclone or significant model divergence appears in the short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,948วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity is keeping trader-implied odds tightly split between 31°C and 32°C for Manila’s August 25 high.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple models show partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by moderate-to-strong southwesterly flow that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak solar insolation. This typical wet-season pattern limits daytime heating near the long-term August average of ~31°C, while dew points near 24–25°C and high humidity further moderate extremes. Minor differences in rain timing or wind gusts (10–15 mph) could tip the official maximum between the two leading outcomes; stronger convective activity would favor the lower end. No tropical cyclone or significant model divergence appears in the short-term guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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