National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August marine layer regime moderating San Francisco temperatures, with onshore westerly flow and coastal fog limiting afternoon highs near 68–72°F on August 23. Persistent stratus and sea-breeze effects—common climatological features for the Bay Area in summer—have kept recent daily maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered around 70–73°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow shift, though any thinning of the marine layer could push readings toward the upper end of that range or slightly higher. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$31 ปริมาณ
2%
66-67°F
$31 ปริมาณ
4%
68-69°F
$211 ปริมาณ
10%
70-71°F
$130 ปริมาณ
24%
72-73°F
$49 ปริมาณ
32%
74-75°F
$126 ปริมาณ
19%
76-77°F
$349 ปริมาณ
11%
78-79°F
$140 ปริมาณ
4%
80-81°F
$97 ปริมาณ
2%
82-83°F
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
84°F or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August marine layer regime moderating San Francisco temperatures, with onshore westerly flow and coastal fog limiting afternoon highs near 68–72°F on August 23. Persistent stratus and sea-breeze effects—common climatological features for the Bay Area in summer—have kept recent daily maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered around 70–73°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow shift, though any thinning of the marine layer could push readings toward the upper end of that range or slightly higher. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,209วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August marine layer regime moderating San Francisco temperatures, with onshore westerly flow and coastal fog limiting afternoon highs near 68–72°F on August 23. Persistent stratus and sea-breeze effects—common climatological features for the Bay Area in summer—have kept recent daily maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered around 70–73°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow shift, though any thinning of the marine layer could push readings toward the upper end of that range or slightly higher. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,209วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August marine layer regime moderating San Francisco temperatures, with onshore westerly flow and coastal fog limiting afternoon highs near 68–72°F on August 23. Persistent stratus and sea-breeze effects—common climatological features for the Bay Area in summer—have kept recent daily maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered around 70–73°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow shift, though any thinning of the marine layer could push readings toward the upper end of that range or slightly higher. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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