**Current model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Italian meteorological outputs points to a minimum temperature near 20–22°C overnight into August 24 in Milan, with light easterly winds, high humidity (70–85%), and variable cloud cover limiting strong radiative cooling.** This setup in the Po Valley during late summer favors mild overnight lows due to the urban heat island effect, elevated dew points around 16–18°C, and the absence of a strong cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions that would promote rapid surface cooling. Recent observations show a temporary dip to 18.9°C on August 21 amid showers, followed by a rebound under stabilizing high pressure, keeping daytime highs near 28–29°C and preventing deeper nocturnal drops. The near-even market split between extremes (≤12°C vs. ≥22°C) reflects trader uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any strong cold-surge signal; the 18–21°C range aligns with the highest-probability bins given typical August climatology (average lows ~18°C) and the latest short-range guidance. New model runs and updated NHC/NOAA-style regional forecasts over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 20–21°C threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
12°C or below 94%
22°C or higher 91%
13°C 36%
20°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
94%
13°C
36%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
22%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C or higher
91%
12°C or below 94%
22°C or higher 91%
13°C 36%
20°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
12°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
94%
13°C
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$4 ปริมาณ
19%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
22°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Italian meteorological outputs points to a minimum temperature near 20–22°C overnight into August 24 in Milan, with light easterly winds, high humidity (70–85%), and variable cloud cover limiting strong radiative cooling.**
This setup in the Po Valley during late summer favors mild overnight lows due to the urban heat island effect, elevated dew points around 16–18°C, and the absence of a strong cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions that would promote rapid surface cooling. Recent observations show a temporary dip to 18.9°C on August 21 amid showers, followed by a rebound under stabilizing high pressure, keeping daytime highs near 28–29°C and preventing deeper nocturnal drops.
The near-even market split between extremes (≤12°C vs. ≥22°C) reflects trader uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any strong cold-surge signal; the 18–21°C range aligns with the highest-probability bins given typical August climatology (average lows ~18°C) and the latest short-range guidance. New model runs and updated NHC/NOAA-style regional forecasts over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 20–21°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Italian meteorological outputs points to a minimum temperature near 20–22°C overnight into August 24 in Milan, with light easterly winds, high humidity (70–85%), and variable cloud cover limiting strong radiative cooling.**
This setup in the Po Valley during late summer favors mild overnight lows due to the urban heat island effect, elevated dew points around 16–18°C, and the absence of a strong cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions that would promote rapid surface cooling. Recent observations show a temporary dip to 18.9°C on August 21 amid showers, followed by a rebound under stabilizing high pressure, keeping daytime highs near 28–29°C and preventing deeper nocturnal drops.
The near-even market split between extremes (≤12°C vs. ≥22°C) reflects trader uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any strong cold-surge signal; the 18–21°C range aligns with the highest-probability bins given typical August climatology (average lows ~18°C) and the latest short-range guidance. New model runs and updated NHC/NOAA-style regional forecasts over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 20–21°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Italian meteorological outputs points to a minimum temperature near 20–22°C overnight into August 24 in Milan, with light easterly winds, high humidity (70–85%), and variable cloud cover limiting strong radiative cooling.** This setup in the Po Valley during late summer favors mild overnight lows due to the urban heat island effect, elevated dew points around 16–18°C, and the absence of a strong cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions that would promote rapid surface cooling. Recent observations show a temporary dip to 18.9°C on August 21 amid showers, followed by a rebound under stabilizing high pressure, keeping daytime highs near 28–29°C and preventing deeper nocturnal drops. The near-even market split between extremes (≤12°C vs. ≥22°C) reflects trader uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any strong cold-surge signal; the 18–21°C range aligns with the highest-probability bins given typical August climatology (average lows ~18°C) and the latest short-range guidance. New model runs and updated NHC/NOAA-style regional forecasts over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 20–21°C threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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