Recent forecasts from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center, GFS-based models, and services like Worldmeteo and Meteonova show Moscow's overnight low on August 24 likely reaching 12–14°C amid westward advection of cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light winds under variable high pressure. Daytime highs are projected near 19–21°C following a recent cooling trend from mid-week peaks above 23°C. Model consensus supports this range with modest spread, though late-summer variability and any strengthening of northerly flow could produce lower readings. Market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below reflect trader weighting of downside model runs and historical precedent for occasional August dips, while warmer buckets capture residual uncertainty in steering patterns ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
9°C or below 96%
19°C or higher 59%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
9°C or below
96%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
30%
19°C or higher
59%
9°C or below 96%
19°C or higher 59%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
9°C or below
96%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
30%
19°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center, GFS-based models, and services like Worldmeteo and Meteonova show Moscow's overnight low on August 24 likely reaching 12–14°C amid westward advection of cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light winds under variable high pressure. Daytime highs are projected near 19–21°C following a recent cooling trend from mid-week peaks above 23°C. Model consensus supports this range with modest spread, though late-summer variability and any strengthening of northerly flow could produce lower readings. Market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below reflect trader weighting of downside model runs and historical precedent for occasional August dips, while warmer buckets capture residual uncertainty in steering patterns ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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