Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the arrival of a fresher Atlantic air mass that limits solar heating and convective activity. Market-implied odds favor 20°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, consistent with historical late-August norms of 18–20°C maxima, while lower probabilities for 25°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification in the current pattern. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
20°C 37%
25°C or higher 34%
19°C 24%
18°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
6%
16°C
11%
17°C
10%
18°C
20%
19°C
24%
20°C
37%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
34%
20°C 37%
25°C or higher 34%
19°C 24%
18°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
16°C
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
20°C
$51 ปริมาณ
37%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
22°C
$20 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the arrival of a fresher Atlantic air mass that limits solar heating and convective activity. Market-implied odds favor 20°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, consistent with historical late-August norms of 18–20°C maxima, while lower probabilities for 25°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification in the current pattern. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the arrival of a fresher Atlantic air mass that limits solar heating and convective activity. Market-implied odds favor 20°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, consistent with historical late-August norms of 18–20°C maxima, while lower probabilities for 25°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification in the current pattern. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the arrival of a fresher Atlantic air mass that limits solar heating and convective activity. Market-implied odds favor 20°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, consistent with historical late-August norms of 18–20°C maxima, while lower probabilities for 25°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification in the current pattern. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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