Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 10–13°C range under clear skies and moderate southerly flow, consistent with typical late-winter climatology moderated by the Benguela Current. The near-even split between market-implied odds for 7°C or below versus 17°C or higher reflects substantial uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates and potential short-term shifts in wind or cloud cover. Key differentiating variables include the strength of onshore southerlies, which can suppress temperature drops, versus calm conditions that enhance surface heat loss, plus any late adjustments from updated regional model runs. Historical analogs show minima rarely deviate far from 10–12°C without strong synoptic forcing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
17°C or higher 85%
7°C or below 84%
11°C 37%
15°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
84%
8°C
19%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
28%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
2%
15°C
36%
16°C
22%
17°C or higher
85%
17°C or higher 85%
7°C or below 84%
11°C 37%
15°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
7°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
84%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
11°C
$5 ปริมาณ
28%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
14°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
16°C
$5 ปริมาณ
22%
17°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 10–13°C range under clear skies and moderate southerly flow, consistent with typical late-winter climatology moderated by the Benguela Current. The near-even split between market-implied odds for 7°C or below versus 17°C or higher reflects substantial uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates and potential short-term shifts in wind or cloud cover. Key differentiating variables include the strength of onshore southerlies, which can suppress temperature drops, versus calm conditions that enhance surface heat loss, plus any late adjustments from updated regional model runs. Historical analogs show minima rarely deviate far from 10–12°C without strong synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 10–13°C range under clear skies and moderate southerly flow, consistent with typical late-winter climatology moderated by the Benguela Current. The near-even split between market-implied odds for 7°C or below versus 17°C or higher reflects substantial uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates and potential short-term shifts in wind or cloud cover. Key differentiating variables include the strength of onshore southerlies, which can suppress temperature drops, versus calm conditions that enhance surface heat loss, plus any late adjustments from updated regional model runs. Historical analogs show minima rarely deviate far from 10–12°C without strong synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 10–13°C range under clear skies and moderate southerly flow, consistent with typical late-winter climatology moderated by the Benguela Current. The near-even split between market-implied odds for 7°C or below versus 17°C or higher reflects substantial uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates and potential short-term shifts in wind or cloud cover. Key differentiating variables include the strength of onshore southerlies, which can suppress temperature drops, versus calm conditions that enhance surface heat loss, plus any late adjustments from updated regional model runs. Historical analogs show minima rarely deviate far from 10–12°C without strong synoptic forcing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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