Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 in the 26–28°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble runs show modest variability from passing moisture and light winds, while historical August lows average near 26°C with occasional dips to 24°C during stronger frontal passages. Differentiation among nearby thresholds hinges on precise timing of any rain or increased wind speed, which can enhance mixing and lower overnight readings by 1–2°C, alongside urban heat-island effects that often keep city-center minima slightly elevated. New model updates expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution criteria approach.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
23°C 44%
29°C 34%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
44%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
23°C 44%
29°C 34%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
44%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 in the 26–28°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus clusters around these outcomes because ensemble runs show modest variability from passing moisture and light winds, while historical August lows average near 26°C with occasional dips to 24°C during stronger frontal passages. Differentiation among nearby thresholds hinges on precise timing of any rain or increased wind speed, which can enhance mixing and lower overnight readings by 1–2°C, alongside urban heat-island effects that often keep city-center minima slightly elevated. New model updates expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution criteria approach.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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