Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for Karachi on August 26, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate southwest winds, high humidity near 60–80%, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong solar heating. Recent station data show daily maxima clustered around 30–32°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and no incoming heat wave or clear-sky intensification. These conditions align with the market's strong weighting toward 32°C (49.5% implied probability), followed by 31°C and 33°C, as traders incorporate the narrow range typical for the season's climatology and limited day-to-day variability in coastal Sindh. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
32°C 50%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 6.8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
50%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 50%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 6.8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
50%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for Karachi on August 26, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate southwest winds, high humidity near 60–80%, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong solar heating. Recent station data show daily maxima clustered around 30–32°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and no incoming heat wave or clear-sky intensification. These conditions align with the market's strong weighting toward 32°C (49.5% implied probability), followed by 31°C and 33°C, as traders incorporate the narrow range typical for the season's climatology and limited day-to-day variability in coastal Sindh. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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