Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 26–30°C range for August 25 amid a persistent low-pressure trough over the southern China coast, driving widespread cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap daytime maxima. South to southwest winds of force 4–6 further promote mixing and moisture advection, favoring convective development over peak heating. Recent model consensus aligns closely with these conditions, though minor variations in shower timing or intensity could allow brief breaks of sunshine to push readings toward 31–32°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, yet the current unsettled pattern supports trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
26%
31°C
32%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$167 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$45 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$2,143 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$66 ปริมาณ
13%
30°C
$65 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$78 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$382 ปริมาณ
23%
33°C
$529 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$306 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$145 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 26–30°C range for August 25 amid a persistent low-pressure trough over the southern China coast, driving widespread cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap daytime maxima. South to southwest winds of force 4–6 further promote mixing and moisture advection, favoring convective development over peak heating. Recent model consensus aligns closely with these conditions, though minor variations in shower timing or intensity could allow brief breaks of sunshine to push readings toward 31–32°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, yet the current unsettled pattern supports trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,936วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 26–30°C range for August 25 amid a persistent low-pressure trough over the southern China coast, driving widespread cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap daytime maxima. South to southwest winds of force 4–6 further promote mixing and moisture advection, favoring convective development over peak heating. Recent model consensus aligns closely with these conditions, though minor variations in shower timing or intensity could allow brief breaks of sunshine to push readings toward 31–32°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, yet the current unsettled pattern supports trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,936วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 26–30°C range for August 25 amid a persistent low-pressure trough over the southern China coast, driving widespread cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and cap daytime maxima. South to southwest winds of force 4–6 further promote mixing and moisture advection, favoring convective development over peak heating. Recent model consensus aligns closely with these conditions, though minor variations in shower timing or intensity could allow brief breaks of sunshine to push readings toward 31–32°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, yet the current unsettled pattern supports trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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