Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August warmth, with Atlantic maritime air and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime highs near 23–24°C on August 23. Ensemble model runs from Météo-France and others show substantial overlap between these values due to uncertainty in cloud fraction, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping market-implied odds tightly matched. Factors favoring 24°C include slightly greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, while 23°C aligns with more persistent stratus or earlier precipitation reducing solar heating. Historical August maxima average around 24–25°C, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of that range with modest day-to-day variability typical at 48-hour lead times.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 23?
24°C 48%
23°C 37%
25°C 9%
26°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
37%
24°C
48%
25°C
9%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 48%
23°C 37%
25°C 9%
26°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$34 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$129 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$42 ปริมาณ
37%
24°C
$242 ปริมาณ
48%
25°C
$34 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$34 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C
$3 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$20 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C or higher
$46 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August warmth, with Atlantic maritime air and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime highs near 23–24°C on August 23. Ensemble model runs from Météo-France and others show substantial overlap between these values due to uncertainty in cloud fraction, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping market-implied odds tightly matched. Factors favoring 24°C include slightly greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, while 23°C aligns with more persistent stratus or earlier precipitation reducing solar heating. Historical August maxima average around 24–25°C, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of that range with modest day-to-day variability typical at 48-hour lead times.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$465วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August warmth, with Atlantic maritime air and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime highs near 23–24°C on August 23. Ensemble model runs from Météo-France and others show substantial overlap between these values due to uncertainty in cloud fraction, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping market-implied odds tightly matched. Factors favoring 24°C include slightly greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, while 23°C aligns with more persistent stratus or earlier precipitation reducing solar heating. Historical August maxima average around 24–25°C, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of that range with modest day-to-day variability typical at 48-hour lead times.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$465วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August warmth, with Atlantic maritime air and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime highs near 23–24°C on August 23. Ensemble model runs from Météo-France and others show substantial overlap between these values due to uncertainty in cloud fraction, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping market-implied odds tightly matched. Factors favoring 24°C include slightly greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, while 23°C aligns with more persistent stratus or earlier precipitation reducing solar heating. Historical August maxima average around 24–25°C, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of that range with modest day-to-day variability typical at 48-hour lead times.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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