Forecast models for Chengdu on August 25 point to a peak near 35–37°C as the dominant driver of market odds clustered around those outcomes. The Sichuan Basin's late-summer pattern, influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, favors clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that allow strong daytime heating, while scattered afternoon showers or increased humidity can cap the maximum. Recent analogs from mid-to-late August show typical highs of 32–35°C, with brief excursions above 36°C under subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Uncertainty in exact convective timing and model spread between 34–38°C keeps probabilities distributed across adjacent bands, with traders weighting official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble consensus ahead of the final observation at the Shuangliu station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
36°C 29%
35°C 23%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
23%
36°C
29%
37°C
20%
38°C
12%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
6%
36°C 29%
35°C 23%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$22 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
35°C
$4 ปริมาณ
23%
36°C
$22 ปริมาณ
29%
37°C
$23 ปริมาณ
20%
38°C
$60 ปริมาณ
12%
39°C
$75 ปริมาณ
6%
40°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 25 point to a peak near 35–37°C as the dominant driver of market odds clustered around those outcomes. The Sichuan Basin's late-summer pattern, influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, favors clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that allow strong daytime heating, while scattered afternoon showers or increased humidity can cap the maximum. Recent analogs from mid-to-late August show typical highs of 32–35°C, with brief excursions above 36°C under subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Uncertainty in exact convective timing and model spread between 34–38°C keeps probabilities distributed across adjacent bands, with traders weighting official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble consensus ahead of the final observation at the Shuangliu station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 25 point to a peak near 35–37°C as the dominant driver of market odds clustered around those outcomes. The Sichuan Basin's late-summer pattern, influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, favors clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that allow strong daytime heating, while scattered afternoon showers or increased humidity can cap the maximum. Recent analogs from mid-to-late August show typical highs of 32–35°C, with brief excursions above 36°C under subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Uncertainty in exact convective timing and model spread between 34–38°C keeps probabilities distributed across adjacent bands, with traders weighting official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble consensus ahead of the final observation at the Shuangliu station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on August 25 point to a peak near 35–37°C as the dominant driver of market odds clustered around those outcomes. The Sichuan Basin's late-summer pattern, influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, favors clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that allow strong daytime heating, while scattered afternoon showers or increased humidity can cap the maximum. Recent analogs from mid-to-late August show typical highs of 32–35°C, with brief excursions above 36°C under subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Uncertainty in exact convective timing and model spread between 34–38°C keeps probabilities distributed across adjacent bands, with traders weighting official China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble consensus ahead of the final observation at the Shuangliu station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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