Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam point to peak temperatures of 23–25°C on August 25, with the spread across members explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating factors include easterly flow potentially advecting slightly warmer continental air, variable cloud cover modulating surface heating, and boundary-layer mixing under moderate winds. Typical late-August climatology averages near 22°C, so current model consensus reflects modest above-normal warmth without extreme signals. Final high-resolution runs and observational updates from KNMI stations will refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
24°C 37%
25°C 34%
23°C 17%
26°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
17%
24°C
37%
25°C
34%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 37%
25°C 34%
23°C 17%
26°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$114 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$127 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$380 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C
$444 ปริมาณ
17%
24°C
$85 ปริมาณ
37%
25°C
$260 ปริมาณ
34%
26°C
$233 ปริมาณ
11%
27°C
$97 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam point to peak temperatures of 23–25°C on August 25, with the spread across members explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating factors include easterly flow potentially advecting slightly warmer continental air, variable cloud cover modulating surface heating, and boundary-layer mixing under moderate winds. Typical late-August climatology averages near 22°C, so current model consensus reflects modest above-normal warmth without extreme signals. Final high-resolution runs and observational updates from KNMI stations will refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,764วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam point to peak temperatures of 23–25°C on August 25, with the spread across members explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating factors include easterly flow potentially advecting slightly warmer continental air, variable cloud cover modulating surface heating, and boundary-layer mixing under moderate winds. Typical late-August climatology averages near 22°C, so current model consensus reflects modest above-normal warmth without extreme signals. Final high-resolution runs and observational updates from KNMI stations will refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,764วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam point to peak temperatures of 23–25°C on August 25, with the spread across members explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating factors include easterly flow potentially advecting slightly warmer continental air, variable cloud cover modulating surface heating, and boundary-layer mixing under moderate winds. Typical late-August climatology averages near 22°C, so current model consensus reflects modest above-normal warmth without extreme signals. Final high-resolution runs and observational updates from KNMI stations will refine outcomes ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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