Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures on August 23, with 31–32°C emerging as the most likely outcomes amid scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. High humidity levels above 70% and potential afternoon convection limit radiative heating, while steering patterns and sea breeze effects from the East China Sea further moderate peaks. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32°C, but short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, sustaining tight market-implied odds between these two thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
30°C 11%
33°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
47%
32°C
37%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
30°C 11%
33°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
$274 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$466 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$139 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$184 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$722 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$430 ปริมาณ
47%
32°C
$649 ปริมาณ
37%
33°C
$113 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$164 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$151 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$280 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures on August 23, with 31–32°C emerging as the most likely outcomes amid scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. High humidity levels above 70% and potential afternoon convection limit radiative heating, while steering patterns and sea breeze effects from the East China Sea further moderate peaks. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32°C, but short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, sustaining tight market-implied odds between these two thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,572วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures on August 23, with 31–32°C emerging as the most likely outcomes amid scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. High humidity levels above 70% and potential afternoon convection limit radiative heating, while steering patterns and sea breeze effects from the East China Sea further moderate peaks. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32°C, but short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, sustaining tight market-implied odds between these two thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,572วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures on August 23, with 31–32°C emerging as the most likely outcomes amid scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. High humidity levels above 70% and potential afternoon convection limit radiative heating, while steering patterns and sea breeze effects from the East China Sea further moderate peaks. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32°C, but short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, sustaining tight market-implied odds between these two thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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