Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows in Shanghai around 27–28°C on August 23, driven by lingering subtropical moisture, extensive cloud cover, and light rain or showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow earlier August typhoon influences, such as Dolphin, which enhanced humidity and suppressed clear skies. With 27°C at 43% and 28°C at 34.5% implied probability, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns where small shifts in precipitation timing can alter minima by 1–2°C. Updated runs and observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
27°C 44%
28°C 36%
26°C 13%
25°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
44%
28°C
36%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 36%
26°C 13%
25°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$18 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$101 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$4 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$49 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$2,726 ปริมาณ
44%
28°C
$231 ปริมาณ
36%
29°C
$9 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$4 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$13 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$52 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows in Shanghai around 27–28°C on August 23, driven by lingering subtropical moisture, extensive cloud cover, and light rain or showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow earlier August typhoon influences, such as Dolphin, which enhanced humidity and suppressed clear skies. With 27°C at 43% and 28°C at 34.5% implied probability, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns where small shifts in precipitation timing can alter minima by 1–2°C. Updated runs and observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,217วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows in Shanghai around 27–28°C on August 23, driven by lingering subtropical moisture, extensive cloud cover, and light rain or showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow earlier August typhoon influences, such as Dolphin, which enhanced humidity and suppressed clear skies. With 27°C at 43% and 28°C at 34.5% implied probability, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns where small shifts in precipitation timing can alter minima by 1–2°C. Updated runs and observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,217วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows in Shanghai around 27–28°C on August 23, driven by lingering subtropical moisture, extensive cloud cover, and light rain or showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow earlier August typhoon influences, such as Dolphin, which enhanced humidity and suppressed clear skies. With 27°C at 43% and 28°C at 34.5% implied probability, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention, typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns where small shifts in precipitation timing can alter minima by 1–2°C. Updated runs and observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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