Recent multi-model forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 will likely fall between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds across mid-20s thresholds, while the 48% on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized model divergences on precipitation intensity. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify resolution near these boundaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
20°C or below 95%
30°C or higher 95%
22°C 86%
26°C 86%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
95%
21°C
50%
22°C
86%
23°C
51%
24°C
27%
25°C
46%
26°C
86%
27°C
86%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
95%
20°C or below 95%
30°C or higher 95%
22°C 86%
26°C 86%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
86%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
86%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
86%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 will likely fall between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds across mid-20s thresholds, while the 48% on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized model divergences on precipitation intensity. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify resolution near these boundaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 will likely fall between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds across mid-20s thresholds, while the 48% on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized model divergences on precipitation intensity. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify resolution near these boundaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent multi-model forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 will likely fall between 24–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–80%, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds across mid-20s thresholds, while the 48% on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized model divergences on precipitation intensity. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify resolution near these boundaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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