Latest Met Office guidance for London on August 25 points to sunny intervals and a daytime maximum near 25°C, reflecting persistent high pressure and modest southerly flow that favors warming. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UK models introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and cloud cover, keeping 23–24°C equally plausible and explaining their matched 33.5% market-implied probabilities. Sea-breeze effects along the Thames and any late-day convection could trim the high by 1–2°C, while clearer skies would support the upper end of the distribution. New model runs overnight and morning observations will refine the final outcome ahead of official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 25?
Highest temperature in London on August 25?
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
ใหม่
$26,724 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$26,724 ปริมาณ
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
16%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
ใหม่
$26,724 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$26,724 ปริมาณ
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
$538 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$322 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,067 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,705 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$2,613 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$2,567 ปริมาณ
13%
23°C
$4,867 ปริมาณ
34%
24°C
$6,200 ปริมาณ
34%
25°C
$4,167 ปริมาณ
16%
26°C
$1,250 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C or higher
$427 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance for London on August 25 points to sunny intervals and a daytime maximum near 25°C, reflecting persistent high pressure and modest southerly flow that favors warming. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UK models introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and cloud cover, keeping 23–24°C equally plausible and explaining their matched 33.5% market-implied probabilities. Sea-breeze effects along the Thames and any late-day convection could trim the high by 1–2°C, while clearer skies would support the upper end of the distribution. New model runs overnight and morning observations will refine the final outcome ahead of official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,724วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance for London on August 25 points to sunny intervals and a daytime maximum near 25°C, reflecting persistent high pressure and modest southerly flow that favors warming. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UK models introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and cloud cover, keeping 23–24°C equally plausible and explaining their matched 33.5% market-implied probabilities. Sea-breeze effects along the Thames and any late-day convection could trim the high by 1–2°C, while clearer skies would support the upper end of the distribution. New model runs overnight and morning observations will refine the final outcome ahead of official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,724วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance for London on August 25 points to sunny intervals and a daytime maximum near 25°C, reflecting persistent high pressure and modest southerly flow that favors warming. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UK models introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and cloud cover, keeping 23–24°C equally plausible and explaining their matched 33.5% market-implied probabilities. Sea-breeze effects along the Thames and any late-day convection could trim the high by 1–2°C, while clearer skies would support the upper end of the distribution. New model runs overnight and morning observations will refine the final outcome ahead of official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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