**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 26, 2026, centers on 31–32°C outcomes (together over 60% implied probability), reflecting PAGASA and model consensus for typical southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions.** Persistent cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near the seasonal 30–32°C range rather than allowing stronger solar-driven rises. Recent PAGASA outlooks explicitly project 31°C highs for Metro Manila on the 26th amid 80–90% rain chances, consistent with broader August patterns of 26–31°C averages under high humidity and frequent convection. Differentiating factors include variable cloud thickness and rainfall timing: heavier or prolonged monsoon-driven precipitation suppresses temperatures toward 30°C or below by limiting insolation, while brief sun breaks or lighter activity could permit brief peaks near 33°C. No major tropical cyclone or anomalous ridge is indicated to disrupt the pattern in the next 48 hours, supporting the tight clustering around 31–32°C as the most probable range based on current official guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 26?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 26?
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
14%
34°C
8%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$41 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
32°C
$50 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 26, 2026, centers on 31–32°C outcomes (together over 60% implied probability), reflecting PAGASA and model consensus for typical southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions.**
Persistent cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near the seasonal 30–32°C range rather than allowing stronger solar-driven rises. Recent PAGASA outlooks explicitly project 31°C highs for Metro Manila on the 26th amid 80–90% rain chances, consistent with broader August patterns of 26–31°C averages under high humidity and frequent convection.
Differentiating factors include variable cloud thickness and rainfall timing: heavier or prolonged monsoon-driven precipitation suppresses temperatures toward 30°C or below by limiting insolation, while brief sun breaks or lighter activity could permit brief peaks near 33°C. No major tropical cyclone or anomalous ridge is indicated to disrupt the pattern in the next 48 hours, supporting the tight clustering around 31–32°C as the most probable range based on current official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 26, 2026, centers on 31–32°C outcomes (together over 60% implied probability), reflecting PAGASA and model consensus for typical southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions.**
Persistent cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near the seasonal 30–32°C range rather than allowing stronger solar-driven rises. Recent PAGASA outlooks explicitly project 31°C highs for Metro Manila on the 26th amid 80–90% rain chances, consistent with broader August patterns of 26–31°C averages under high humidity and frequent convection.
Differentiating factors include variable cloud thickness and rainfall timing: heavier or prolonged monsoon-driven precipitation suppresses temperatures toward 30°C or below by limiting insolation, while brief sun breaks or lighter activity could permit brief peaks near 33°C. No major tropical cyclone or anomalous ridge is indicated to disrupt the pattern in the next 48 hours, supporting the tight clustering around 31–32°C as the most probable range based on current official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 26, 2026, centers on 31–32°C outcomes (together over 60% implied probability), reflecting PAGASA and model consensus for typical southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions.** Persistent cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near the seasonal 30–32°C range rather than allowing stronger solar-driven rises. Recent PAGASA outlooks explicitly project 31°C highs for Metro Manila on the 26th amid 80–90% rain chances, consistent with broader August patterns of 26–31°C averages under high humidity and frequent convection. Differentiating factors include variable cloud thickness and rainfall timing: heavier or prolonged monsoon-driven precipitation suppresses temperatures toward 30°C or below by limiting insolation, while brief sun breaks or lighter activity could permit brief peaks near 33°C. No major tropical cyclone or anomalous ridge is indicated to disrupt the pattern in the next 48 hours, supporting the tight clustering around 31–32°C as the most probable range based on current official guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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