Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Helsinki on August 26 under northwest flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical late-summer conditions, driving the 40% market-implied probability for that outcome. Supporting forecasts show highs of 19–21°C, consistent with seasonal cooling trends that lower average August maxima from early-month values around 21°C. Minor model spread and potential for localized warming keep 22°C (29%) competitive while capping higher outcomes below 15% combined, reflecting standard forecast uncertainty ranges for 48-hour projections in the Baltic region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 26?
21°C 40%
22°C 29%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
40%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 40%
22°C 29%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
40%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 21°C in Helsinki on August 26 under northwest flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical late-summer conditions, driving the 40% market-implied probability for that outcome. Supporting forecasts show highs of 19–21°C, consistent with seasonal cooling trends that lower average August maxima from early-month values around 21°C. Minor model spread and potential for localized warming keep 22°C (29%) competitive while capping higher outcomes below 15% combined, reflecting standard forecast uncertainty ranges for 48-hour projections in the Baltic region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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