Trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and favor overnight lows near 26–27°C per PAGASA guidance. Official outlooks list highs near 30°C and lows of 26–27°C under these conditions, consistent with recent observed minima of 26–27.6°C at PAGASA stations. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical lows 24–26°C) support the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, while lower odds for 24°C or below reflect the insulating effect of humidity and urban heat. Minor forecast shifts in rainfall timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum within this narrow range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 26?
31°C or higher 35%
23°C 30%
27°C 28%
25°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
30%
24°C
19%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
35%
31°C or higher 35%
23°C 30%
27°C 28%
25°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$135 ปริมาณ
8%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
30%
24°C
$100 ปริมาณ
19%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$51 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$144 ปริมาณ
23%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and favor overnight lows near 26–27°C per PAGASA guidance. Official outlooks list highs near 30°C and lows of 26–27°C under these conditions, consistent with recent observed minima of 26–27.6°C at PAGASA stations. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical lows 24–26°C) support the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, while lower odds for 24°C or below reflect the insulating effect of humidity and urban heat. Minor forecast shifts in rainfall timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum within this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$580วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and favor overnight lows near 26–27°C per PAGASA guidance. Official outlooks list highs near 30°C and lows of 26–27°C under these conditions, consistent with recent observed minima of 26–27.6°C at PAGASA stations. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical lows 24–26°C) support the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, while lower odds for 24°C or below reflect the insulating effect of humidity and urban heat. Minor forecast shifts in rainfall timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum within this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$580วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and favor overnight lows near 26–27°C per PAGASA guidance. Official outlooks list highs near 30°C and lows of 26–27°C under these conditions, consistent with recent observed minima of 26–27.6°C at PAGASA stations. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical lows 24–26°C) support the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, while lower odds for 24°C or below reflect the insulating effect of humidity and urban heat. Minor forecast shifts in rainfall timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum within this narrow range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย